0x9eabdb2f9f2c7320c3cd7141dd5a14d76f8a8212
0x9eabdb2f9f2c7320c3cd7141dd5a14d76f8a8212
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$9.09
Total PnL
$1.99
Realised
$0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.93
$2.70
- NO
Will Backpack launch a token on March 15?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$2.16
$0.02
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
6 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token on March 15?$1.07Mar 14, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token on March 15?$1.07Mar 14, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.87Mar 7, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.07Feb 23, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.07Feb 22, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.34Feb 22, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.21Feb 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$5.47Feb 10, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.30Feb 7, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$5.47Feb 7, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$1.07Feb 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$1.05Feb 3, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$1.07Feb 3, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$1.07Feb 3, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$1.07Feb 3, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$1.07Feb 3, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$4.72Feb 2, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00Feb 2, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?$0.00Feb 2, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Tomahawk" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$0.00Feb 2, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.