Careless-Suede
0x9eafbecb8d6707aaa35305039f6d08af37adbf56
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$27.85
Total PnL
$-398.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
28 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$27.85
$2.53
- YES
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
900 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-234.06
- YES
Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
342 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
148 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-37.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCanton FDV above $10B one day after launch?$37.29Nov 10, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanton FDV above $6B one day after launch?$30.00Nov 10, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanton FDV above $6B one day after launch?$100.00Nov 10, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$144.26Oct 28, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$89.80Oct 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$5.32Oct 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$20.00Oct 28, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $60.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.