Frivolous-Floor
0x9eb45ea084f35787f9762e2d6944c1c095b59eca
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-71.95
Win rate
0%
104 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 13?
901 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1?
511 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 100°F or higher on June 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
430 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 2?
408 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?
375 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?
368 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 2?
330 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?$3.89Aug 6, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?$4.13Aug 6, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?$3.81Aug 6, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?$3.61Aug 5, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?$4.22Aug 5, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?$4.82Aug 5, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?$6.78Aug 5, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?$2.09Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?$2.08Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?$2.07Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?$2.07Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?$2.08Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5?$2.11Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?$2.08Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5?$2.08Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?$2.11Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5?$2.08Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5?$2.08Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?$2.08Aug 4, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?$2.07Aug 4, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 104 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
104 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 104 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.