0x9eb511f526962935d55abf670cfc45aa27eb3253
0x9eb511f526962935d55abf670cfc45aa27eb3253
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$106.99
Total PnL
$-349.95
Realised
$-4.86
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 25?
58 shares @ 86.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$57.87
$7.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 27?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$49.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?
153 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 10?
54 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 31?
50 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 4?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 4?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 15?
35 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 18?
31 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 10?
31 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 27?$50.37Jul 25, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 24?$57.74Jul 25, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 23?$117.05Jul 24, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 23?$59.54Jul 24, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 23?$37.06Jul 24, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?$0.31Jul 24, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 25?$50.34Jul 24, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 24?$50.33Jul 23, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 23?$32.38Jul 22, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?$0.27Jul 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 23?$50.40Jul 22, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 23?$50.33Jul 22, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 23?$50.40Jul 22, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 21?$34.48Jul 21, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 21?$35.29Jul 21, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on July 20?$35.81Jul 20, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 20?$34.88Jul 20, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?$34.92Jul 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 21?$30.19Jul 20, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on July 20?$30.24Jul 19, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $28.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.