Dense-Span
0x9eba4c75964136dffa14d57ee062d9641f8bef97
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-270.15
Realised
$-64.31
Win rate
20%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?
44 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.73
- YES
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?
44 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.83
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
33 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
25 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?
22 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-17?
22 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-17?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on May 17?
20 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.00Jun 4, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$43.93May 31, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$5.33May 31, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.28May 31, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?$0.00May 31, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$6.06May 30, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$90.98May 30, 22:53 UTC
- SPLITWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$100.00May 30, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$100.00May 30, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.06May 30, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$26.00May 30, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.25May 30, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on May 19?$6.00May 22, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on May 18?$1.00May 21, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?$1.00May 21, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?$17.00May 21, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 18?$4.00May 20, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$14.00May 18, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$1.00May 18, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?$13.00May 17, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 56 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
56 closed markets, 20% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $9.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.