Soft-Pardon
0x9ec47c71e3ede1577326d7511c8d640acf08de01
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-12.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Zama auction clearing price above $0.18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
8 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$1.50Feb 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$1.00Feb 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRelay FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 10, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRelay FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 10, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $1.00Feb 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $1.00Feb 4, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.01Jan 31, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.20Jan 29, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.60Jan 29, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$2.17Jan 29, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$1.00Jan 28, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.18?$1.00Jan 25, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$1.24Jan 25, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.19Jan 25, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$1.30Jan 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.53Jan 22, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".