Untrue-Thing
0x9ecd000c23cb08c896826b64b69e573251cfaece
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$27.50
Total PnL
$-147.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$15.00
$10.00
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$12.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
5581 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election?
1650 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?
195 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
114 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
88 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13?
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?$5.00Mar 10, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13?$5.00Mar 10, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$10.00Mar 9, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$17.00Mar 8, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.00Mar 8, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election?$10.00Mar 8, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$6.78Mar 8, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.00Mar 8, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.00Mar 8, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.15Mar 8, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$2.50Mar 8, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$3.92Mar 8, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".