Plush-Bakery
0x9ed37408f0d492277e798f9d0bedec1c1e99a16b
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-760.35
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
400 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-380.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
400 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-380.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
330 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-287.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-273.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
300 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-258.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
300 shares @ 95.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-287.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-264.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
220 shares @ 79.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-174.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
220 shares @ 91.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
210 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-156.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$10.00Jul 30, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$9.25Jul 30, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$10.00Jul 29, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$9.16Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$8.97Jul 29, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$10.00Jul 28, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$9.44Jul 28, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$10.00Jul 28, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$9.53Jul 28, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$10.00Jul 27, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$9.16Jul 27, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Jul 27, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$9.63Jul 27, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$10.00Jul 26, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$9.53Jul 26, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$10.00Jul 26, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$9.44Jul 26, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$10.00Jul 26, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$9.44Jul 26, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$10.00Jul 26, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $9.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 02:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.