Wallet digest

active

Activity score

43/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-14.3K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 14

UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2383 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2382 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2381 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2381 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2377 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2375 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2374 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2374 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2372 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2370 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?$5.10Mar 14, 03:22 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?$5.01Feb 6, 07:58 UTC
REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.02Feb 6, 07:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$4.8KDec 19, 02:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$2.4KDec 19, 01:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.4KDec 19, 01:09 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Dec 18, 11:47 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity21 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk65 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 6
Avg trade size: $1.2K
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 18, 10:35 UTC
Last active: Mar 14, 03:22 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:09:24 UTC·src:Polymarket Data