0x9ee888781a99337d10e1efc9dc767b4546e92454
0x9ee888781a99337d10e1efc9dc767b4546e92454
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$58.91
Total PnL
$-149.32
Realised
$-2.17
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
50 shares @ 81.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$25.25
$-15.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
35 shares @ 16.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$17.32
$11.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$5.00
$2.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$5.00
$2.90
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
30 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
15 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$9.53Aug 15, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$60.00Aug 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.48Aug 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$3.00Aug 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$8.68Aug 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$16.80Aug 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$7.53Aug 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.42Aug 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.58Aug 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.42Aug 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$7.42Aug 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$3.96Aug 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$6.11Aug 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$8.30Aug 15, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.53Aug 15, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$7.53Aug 15, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.27Aug 15, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$17.75Aug 15, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$6.12Aug 15, 19:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.