0x9eed42313f78ec78100927ca79fdfea88b28cdca
0x9eed42313f78ec78100927ca79fdfea88b28cdca
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$23.83
Total PnL
$-13.44
Realised
$1.66
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31?
437 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.53
$0.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 22?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 22?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 21?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 22?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 22?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?
1 shares @ 84.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.04
$0.04
- BUSHIDO WILDCATS
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 21?$0.00Aug 21, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 22?$1.03Aug 21, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Spirit Win The International 2026?$1.00Aug 21, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Yandex Win The International 2026?$1.00Aug 21, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?$1.01Aug 21, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?$1.02Aug 21, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 1080m by August 31?$1.05Aug 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31?$1.05Aug 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?$1.03Aug 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 980m by August 31?$1.05Aug 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?$1.05Aug 21, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.