Mature-Chasuble
0x9f00da7d8beda74324e9fae96da1517ed1a4cebd
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-179.40
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
3473 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-715.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
2015 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
1292 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-114.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
824 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-486.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
606 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
561 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-32.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
553 shares @ 87.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-485.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
548 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
542 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-97.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
491 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.24Jun 10, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.04Jun 10, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.03Jun 10, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.04Jun 10, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$6.15Jun 10, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.16Jun 10, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.51Jun 10, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$4.59Jun 10, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.05Jun 10, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.05Jun 10, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.05Jun 10, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.05Jun 10, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.04Jun 10, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.04Jun 10, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.03Jun 10, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.35Jun 10, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.12Jun 10, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.05Jun 10, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.05Jun 10, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$7.14Jun 9, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 11:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.