0x9f04f32ca94998d37d539ed64809988b7de04476
0x9f04f32ca94998d37d539ed64809988b7de04476
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$243.42
Total PnL
$-981.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET
208 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$208.33
$8.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$35.09
$15.09
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
759 shares @ 81.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-622.26
- YES
Ecuador leading at halftime?
346 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-197.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
111 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
88 shares @ 79.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$75.62Jun 21, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$48.78Jun 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET$202.56Jun 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$20.80Jun 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$50.67Jun 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$20.38Jun 21, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$21.03Jun 21, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$24.10Jun 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$25.64Jun 21, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11AM ET$217.39Jun 21, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$20.44Jun 21, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$27.03Jun 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$20.51Jun 21, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$20.56Jun 21, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11AM ET$203.12Jun 21, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$65.22Jun 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$40.37Jun 21, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$22.22Jun 21, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10AM ET$76.77Jun 21, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.26Jun 21, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $34.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.