0x9f05a1d1117e5305e77d15a5ef4efda300163b57
0x9f05a1d1117e5305e77d15a5ef4efda300163b57
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.19
Total PnL
$-946.31
Realised
$-45.78
Win rate
0%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 51.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.19
$-6.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
151 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
87 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.20
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
78 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
62 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
57 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
44 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
40 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
32 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
31 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.20Aug 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.72Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Aug 17, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Aug 17, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Aug 17, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.56Aug 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$6.46Aug 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$7.05Aug 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.62Aug 17, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.72Aug 17, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$7.27Aug 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$2.54Aug 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$7.91Aug 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$9.42Aug 14, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$14.59Aug 14, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$9.32Aug 14, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$9.49Aug 14, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$9.77Aug 14, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$17.31Aug 14, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
199 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $10.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 01:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.