Multicolored-Cookbook
0x9f06a267c541b8e04407e3ef49dac15ec0157b11
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$101.70
Total PnL
$-83.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 22?
102 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$101.70
$1.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 13?
15 shares @ 66.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
11 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
7 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
7 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
7 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 21?$104.46Apr 21, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 22?$100.00Apr 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 21?$100.44Apr 21, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 21?$100.00Apr 21, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 16?$207.92Apr 20, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 21?$100.00Apr 20, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 15?$102.11Apr 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 16?$200.00Apr 15, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 15?$95.62Apr 15, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 15?$200.00Apr 15, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 14?$103.26Apr 15, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 13?$201.02Apr 15, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 14?$100.00Apr 13, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 13?$10.00Apr 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 13?$200.00Apr 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 11?$100.24Apr 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 11?$11.05Apr 11, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 11?$100.00Apr 11, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 11?$10.90Apr 11, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $45.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.