Hard-To-Find-Query
0x9f15fdd2c16ffd24cc30717e6e49b1da56f58985
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-472.86
Realised
$-26.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
1617 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
1101 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.14
- SPURS
Warriors vs. Spurs
497 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-283.20
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
474 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- YES
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
168 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.27
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
78 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
60 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?
40 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
- NO
Will Trump say "trans" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?
35 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2024$0.00
$-3.18
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
31 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?$1.53Jun 8, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$1.47Jun 8, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$2.92Jun 7, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$2.96Jun 7, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$5.91Jun 7, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.00Jun 7, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.00Jun 7, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.00Jun 7, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2.37Apr 8, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.69Apr 7, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$28.42Apr 7, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$29.10Apr 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$13.97Apr 7, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?$14.64Apr 6, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?$16.01Apr 6, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$16.00Apr 6, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$15.41Apr 6, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$0.33Apr 6, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$0.18Apr 6, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$0.33Apr 6, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.