Scarce-Cormorant
0x9f16feb66b8a4355528fd9eb1f6fceb989337013
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$10.00
Realised
$207.28
Win rate
93%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Wales leading at halftime?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Nico Schlotterbeck be in Germany's Starting 11?
1142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- TEODORA MIRON
ITF Focsani: Teodora Miron vs Sara Victoria Balan
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SINGAPORE
Spread: Singapore (-2.5)
990 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13?
774 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will Nadiem Amiri be in Germany's Starting 11?
723 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- UNDER
Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: Zirə FK O/U 0.5
611 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Assan Ouédraogo be in Germany's Starting 11?
606 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- NO
Defensor Sporting vs. Liverpool Montevideo: Both Teams to Score
582 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.58
- YES
Marlin Coast Rangers FC vs. Brunswick Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
560 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.06Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?$0.04Jul 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of July 27 2026?$0.07Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of July 27 2026?$0.07Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of July 27 2026?$0.25Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?$0.86Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?$0.43Jul 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss?$2.00Jul 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss?$3.00Jul 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss?$1.00Jul 28, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss?$0.26Jul 28, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss?$0.24Jul 28, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss?$0.67Jul 28, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the game go to extra innings?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$0.68Jul 28, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the game go to extra innings?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$2.48Jul 28, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on July 29?$0.03Jul 28, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on July 29?$0.00Jul 28, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 29?$0.30Jul 28, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 96°F or higher on July 29?$0.12Jul 28, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 29?$0.12Jul 28, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
44 closed markets, 93% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.