Cloudy-Swath
0x9f18be33c40a85374516f48054750a138a1faab2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-315.49
Realised
$-89.21
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on November 13?
281 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.52
- YES
Will monthly inflation be lower than 1.5% in October?
281 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 15?
280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.60 November 3-9?
278 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.55
- YES
Will eToro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?
276 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26?
276 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.04
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on November 23?
276 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?
274 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 14?
273 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.24
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 17?
272 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 24?$135.70Jul 24, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 24?$133.12Jul 23, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 10?$1.97Jul 9, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?$3.44Jul 8, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 4?$167.41Jul 4, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 4?$0.74Jul 4, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 4?$165.67Jul 4, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 27?$2.51Jun 26, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 29?$167.05May 29, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 29?$165.88May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?$2.33May 25, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$1.23May 23, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$3.75May 20, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$94.93May 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$1.42May 17, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 20, 1AM ET$89.26May 10, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on November 25?$0.00Apr 27, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 20, 1AM ET$86.85Apr 20, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 13?$88.25Apr 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 13?$0.02Apr 13, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $35.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.