Closed-Hyphenation
0x9f1e8333b16333b878019513f627534d94924aab
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-110.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?
1964 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-726.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6AM ET
295 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-132.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 12PM ET
209 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-104.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
90 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-29.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4PM ET
78 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-38.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 20?$46.90Dec 20, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 20?$293.59Dec 19, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 20?$17.92Dec 19, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 20?$63.36Dec 19, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 20?$0.32Dec 19, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$375.10Dec 19, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$629.20Dec 19, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$258.70Dec 19, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$2.00Dec 19, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$3.30Dec 19, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$504.00Dec 19, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$537.02Dec 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$15.98Dec 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$30.92Dec 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$77.34Dec 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$9.71Dec 19, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$9.88Dec 19, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$36.91Dec 19, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$13.52Dec 19, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$83.12Dec 19, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $126.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.