Kaleidoscopic-Grain
0x9f1fe82c1f90ce5f3ad4f4e710a46faa942d5086
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 30?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 5?
199 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?
197 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?
119 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?
117 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will Solana dip to $80 on April 11?
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?
95 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 25?
90 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?
87 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 20?
86 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 25?$2.20Jul 24, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 24?$1.23Jul 23, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$2.34Jul 15, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$163.09Jul 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.36Jul 11, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$160.94Jul 11, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 5?$2.13Jun 4, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$109.00Jun 2, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$2.33Jun 2, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$2.46May 30, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 30?$2.57May 29, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$3.55May 24, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$2.69May 22, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 18?$91.49May 18, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 18?$89.75May 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?$1.25May 14, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 21?$96.72May 10, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 27?$0.00May 1, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 27?$1.42Apr 27, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 21?$94.59Apr 21, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $38.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.