Outrageous-Effacement
0x9f202b307c3a53839d9f25a5c6889f243c2ec879
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$23.92
Total PnL
$-535.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
24 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$23.92
$14.35
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
12787 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-232.97
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
2292 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-74.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
1393 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.58
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1266 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-90.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
1163 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-32.55
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
919 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
387 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-65.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$70.00Apr 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.00Apr 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$16.41Apr 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$13.59Apr 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.00Apr 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$10.00Apr 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.00Apr 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.00Apr 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$10.00Apr 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$10.00Apr 13, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$20.00Apr 13, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$20.00Apr 13, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$10.00Apr 13, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$10.00Apr 13, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$33.00Feb 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$20.00Feb 9, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$20.00Feb 9, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$20.00Feb 9, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $22.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 22:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".