Scarce-Noir
0x9f23d0d488671cdc79f71601169011840349641e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$250.25
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
250 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$250.00
$0.50
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
9656 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-76.68
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
9515 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-333.01
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
8964 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-254.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26?
1662 shares @ 75.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
1600 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.40
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
1033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?
1012 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-60.70
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
958 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$249.52May 20, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$21.40May 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$11.40May 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$3.15May 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$75.64May 20, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$4.09May 20, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum ETF Flows on February 26?$3.30May 20, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$11.11May 20, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$331.46May 20, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$1.00Feb 26, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on February 26?$3.00Feb 26, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 26, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.00Feb 26, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$333.01Feb 26, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$63.92Feb 26, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.89Feb 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$11.56Feb 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$46.19Feb 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$184.79Feb 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$78.08Feb 25, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $103.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 02:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.