0x9f2793723c594c0a7f0970664540b7df8893cb4d
0x9f2793723c594c0a7f0970664540b7df8893cb4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.29
Total PnL
$-547.60
Realised
$-11.59
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$5.29
$3.49
- TORONTO MARLIES
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.00
$2.40
- YES
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1490 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- TORONTO TEMPO
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- CHICAGO SKY
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever
31 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
22 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.10
- NO
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 7AM ET?
19 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- UP
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
18 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
17 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.97Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$7.25Jun 18, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$10.00Jun 18, 13:31 UTC
- MERGEWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$50.00Jun 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$4.37Jun 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$18.46Jun 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$6.52Jun 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$3.83Jun 18, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$40.50Jun 18, 01:22 UTC
- MERGEWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$50.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$5.73Jun 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$3.75Jun 17, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$3.02Jun 17, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$14.23Jun 17, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$32.00Jun 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?$60.28Jun 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?$60.19Jun 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$22.50Jun 17, 10:00 UTC
- MERGEWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June?$110.00Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June?$1.17Jun 17, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $20.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.