Friendly-Engagement
0x9f2c52b29019adf5908a71a4b20994ef8f7b14ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$4.63
Total PnL
$-103.22
Realised
$-1.46
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
18 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- OVER
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5
17 shares @ 80.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?
12 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
10 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5$10.06Jun 20, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5$4.02Jun 20, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$4.02Jun 20, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMVinícius Júnior: 1+ goals$3.70Jun 20, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$4.22Jun 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$4.01Jun 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$0.96Jun 20, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinícius Júnior: 1+ goals$2.03Jun 20, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$4.92Jun 20, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinícius Júnior: 3+ shots$1.01Jun 20, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$5.02Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.03Jun 19, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$2.03Jun 19, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$2.03Jun 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 19, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 19, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$0.87Jun 19, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 20:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.