Rotten-Underestimate
0x9f380e7530eb820634d2787097cb85b737a5a956
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-79.00
Realised
$1.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
169 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
147 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4AM ET
71 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-43.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4AM ET
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$3.79Feb 10, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$3.79Feb 10, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$3.37Feb 10, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$3.37Feb 10, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$4.98Feb 10, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$4.97Feb 10, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$6.29Feb 10, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$0.15Feb 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$6.15Feb 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET$5.40Feb 10, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET$0.14Feb 10, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET$5.26Feb 10, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET$5.26Feb 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET$5.15Feb 10, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET$3.33Feb 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET$3.44Feb 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET$2.50Feb 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET$2.50Feb 10, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2AM ET$2.28Feb 10, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?$2.03Feb 10, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.