Dependable-Expert
0x9f3b15c2de1a82d3c5e7fd9add46f5f7af40916b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$77.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8?
3896 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-600.80
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
3165 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 15?
1725 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-219.60
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 12?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
886 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.49
- YES
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?
757 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.45
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
733 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 8?
670 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
566 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-64.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
474 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-36.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$19.89Mar 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Mar 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$110.00Mar 18, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?$54.49Mar 11, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$1.28Mar 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$0.30Mar 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$28.74Mar 9, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$0.63Mar 8, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$0.13Mar 7, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$0.48Mar 7, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$6.00Mar 7, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$7.89Mar 7, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$1.8KFeb 28, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.10Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.10Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$2.54Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$146.90Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$8.56Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.09Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$5.85Feb 28, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $205.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.