Limp-Meatloaf
0x9f44dab0f4c54e28d600d1a89f30bcfaa508658c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-690.85
Realised
$-20.27
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
200 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.70
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 11AM ET
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 11AM ET
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
40 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.09
- YES
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
39 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
29 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
26 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
26 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
23 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$7.86May 11, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$4.96May 11, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$2.17Apr 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$4.86Apr 26, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$0.30Apr 24, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$0.90Apr 24, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.80Apr 24, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3.00Apr 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$4.10Apr 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$4.55Apr 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?$1.15Apr 23, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 24?$0.90Apr 23, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?$1.30Apr 23, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$4.71Apr 23, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 22?$4.84Apr 23, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?$14.72Apr 22, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$0.95Apr 21, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$2.65Apr 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.03Apr 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.03Apr 21, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 11:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.