Cruel-Puddle
0x9f49295d4bfea1201673a2391e36c96f00889850
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$43.62
Total PnL
$-20.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
22 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$22.19
$13.31
- NO
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$21.43
$6.43
- YES
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
384 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$8.88Feb 2, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?$0.00Feb 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$20.00Jan 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $9.37Jan 30, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill $MELANIA FDV be less than $1b on Friday?$0.00Jan 26, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $15.00Jan 25, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $15.00Jan 25, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLRipple above $3.15 on January 31?$16.98Jan 25, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin above $0.36 on January 31?$21.83Jan 25, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $3,400 on January 31?$10.70Jan 25, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.36 on January 31?$20.82Jan 24, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,400 on January 31?$15.00Jan 24, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple above $3.15 on January 31?$20.00Jan 24, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?$19.44Jan 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGoogle Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?$30.71Jan 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?$20.00Jan 22, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?$25.68Jan 22, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?$15.55Jan 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?$15.00Jan 21, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?$19.00Jan 21, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $23.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.