First-Borrowing
0x9f494906a0327d94c4e3176401033e2c62c9335e
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.68
Total PnL
$-104.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.68
$-0.52
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
41 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.80
- YES
No US strike on Syria in 2025?
27 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.11
- NO
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will turnout be between 60% and 63% in the Czech election?
19 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
US recession in 2025?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?
16 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?
16 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- SWITZERLAND
UEFA Women’s Euro: Spain vs. Switzerland (To Advance)
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?$11.11Jan 3, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$16.97Jan 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo US strike on Syria in 2025?$19.11Dec 14, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$3.30Nov 2, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$5.03Nov 2, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMFrench Open: Sinner vs. Djokovic$5.06Nov 2, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?$5.60Nov 2, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.40Sep 27, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.40Sep 27, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.00Sep 16, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.00Sep 16, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo visit another country first?$6.54Sep 9, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.93Sep 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$6.38Sep 7, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?$5.50Aug 29, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 60% and 63% in the Czech election?$5.50Aug 29, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo visit another country first?$10.22Aug 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$15.00Aug 29, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?$8.00Aug 29, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$1.00Aug 28, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".