Wallet digest

active

Activity score

32/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-18.77

Realised

$0.22

Win rate

17 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 18

UP
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.07Jun 6, 20:05 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.67Jun 6, 19:55 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.04Jun 6, 19:50 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.03Jun 6, 19:47 UTC
TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.06Jun 6, 19:42 UTC
REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.96Jun 6, 18:00 UTC
TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.04Jun 6, 17:23 UTC
REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.75Jun 6, 17:21 UTC
TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.04Jun 6, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.06Jun 6, 17:12 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.67Jun 6, 17:10 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.04Jun 6, 17:06 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.85Jun 6, 17:05 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.04Jun 6, 17:02 UTC
TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.02Jun 6, 17:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.27Jun 6, 17:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.02Jun 6, 16:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.03Jun 6, 16:52 UTC
REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.28Jun 6, 16:45 UTC
TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.03Jun 6, 16:43 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

43/100

read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

6% win rate over 17 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal

pass

36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.

Resolved-only track record

review

17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence57 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry39 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk33 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 36
Avg trade size: $1.37
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 28, 21:51 UTC
Last active: Jun 6, 20:05 UTC
Win rate sample: 17 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 02:44:29 UTC·src:Polymarket Data