Thorough-Stamina
0x9f5ffef17f2313dd146fd1d3dd139c8511334fe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-49.18
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?
11044 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?
3789 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-488.79
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
3083 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-252.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?
2482 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-504.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 2?
2000 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-147.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 2?
1871 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-28.83
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?
1774 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-78.03
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1538 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 29?
1444 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$202.49Dec 4, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 4, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 4, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 4, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 FOMC decision result in any other outcome?$10.00Dec 3, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 4?$20.00Dec 3, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 4?$15.00Dec 3, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 3, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Dec 3, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$50.00Dec 3, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$100.00Dec 3, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 3?$20.00Dec 3, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?$10.00Dec 3, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?$44.36Dec 3, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$100.00Dec 3, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$100.00Dec 3, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$4.29Dec 3, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?$20.00Dec 3, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$100.00Dec 3, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?$20.00Dec 3, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $42.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 18:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.