Unlined-Valance
0x9f6085a7137a6ad59b961063f1898e3070b4b0a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$190.47
Total PnL
$-831.69
Realised
$129.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
998 shares @ 8.5¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$57.41
$-27.59
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
808 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$44.02
$2.02
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.67
$3.67
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
870 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.75
$-5.25
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122 shares @ 8.2¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.11
$-1.89
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
275 shares @ 10.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.96
$-23.90
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.10
$-5.90
- YES
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
292 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.94
$-6.06
- YES
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1506 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.77
$-45.23
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 21, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodi Lukebakio: 1+ goals$19.46Jun 21, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spain (-4.5)$38.53Jun 21, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spain (-3.5)$56.24Jun 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-5.5)$15.33Jun 21, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Belgium (-2.5)$20.47Jun 21, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium leading at halftime?$20.29Jun 21, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$20.40Jun 21, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-4.5)$10.25Jun 21, 15:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-1.5) AND Spread: Canada (-2.5)$250.15Jun 19, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$18.29Jun 19, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$22.51Jun 19, 20:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$50.67Jun 18, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$10.28Jun 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$10.26Jun 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$10.26Jun 18, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $20.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.