0x9f6c94390fdbeffd9cd28167d1f9fab843d04880
0x9f6c94390fdbeffd9cd28167d1f9fab843d04880
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$12.44
Total PnL
$-21.47
Realised
$-1.09
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
7 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.46
$-0.10
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 27.2¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.44
$-0.54
- NO
Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" in March?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.33
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 88.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.09
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
93 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.12
$0.28
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 91.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.09
$-0.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.71
$-1.29
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2467 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.91Apr 9, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 9, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.91Apr 9, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 9, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.91Apr 9, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.00Apr 9, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.91Apr 9, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 9, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 9, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.91Apr 9, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.91Apr 9, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 9, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 9, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.91Apr 9, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 9, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.91Apr 9, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.90Apr 9, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 1, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 1, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.