Misguided-Developmental
0x9f71a9024b1b85a88e2f706d4c2874cc473f722d
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$200.00
Total PnL
$-656.68
Realised
$19.64
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 21?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$200.00
$168.00
- YES
Will another player lead the NBA in Assists?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?
1875 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will another team win the Bundesliga?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Eric Dixon win the Wooden Award?
1314 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.72
- YES
Will Kam Jones win the Wooden Award?
1022 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.72
- YES
Will Chaz Lanier win the Wooden Award?
1022 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.72
- YES
Will Draymond Green lead the NBA in Assists?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in Assists?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Josh Giddey lead the NBA in Assists?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?$54.00Mar 20, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21?$72.00Mar 20, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3,000.00 again by March 31?$5.11Mar 20, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3,000.00 again by March 31?$7.44Mar 20, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $2,800.00 again by March 31?$11.55Mar 20, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $2,800.00 again by March 31?$14.85Mar 20, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21?$23.40Mar 18, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21?$2.40Mar 18, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000.00 by March 31?$6.84Mar 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000.00 by March 31?$0.06Mar 18, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000.00 by March 31?$11.00Mar 18, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?$50.00Mar 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?$300.00Mar 18, 02:40 UTC
- MERGETrump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$215.53Mar 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$194.83Mar 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$0.24Mar 18, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$4.55Mar 18, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$1.56Mar 18, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$5.64Mar 18, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump releases JFK files by Tuesday?$128.85Mar 18, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $37.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.