Villainous-Return-Subsidiary
0x9f7a01549f4c2b6c91b0780c5ea147f10fd407a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$160.43
Total PnL
$-471.45
Realised
$65.39
Win rate
12%
155 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 16?
105 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$104.95
$1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 16?
46 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$45.89
$2.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$7.51
$6.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?
25 shares @ 11.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$1.25
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 16?
25 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.70
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 16?
50 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.07
$-1.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 16?
86 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.04
$-0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 16?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.02
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 10?
264 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 16?$16.04Aug 16, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 16?$27.28Aug 16, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 16?$1.94Aug 16, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$7.58Aug 16, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 16?$0.96Aug 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 16?$104.00Aug 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?$1.25Aug 16, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 16?$1.06Aug 16, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 16?$1.05Aug 16, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?$2.45Aug 16, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?$1.84Aug 16, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 16?$5.32Aug 16, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?$1.30Aug 16, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?$2.08Aug 16, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?$1.05Aug 16, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$4.42Aug 16, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?$1.07Aug 16, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?$2.18Aug 16, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?$2.20Aug 16, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 16?$0.54Aug 16, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
12% win rate over 155 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
155 closed markets, 12% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 08:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 155 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.