0x9f7ceb76cefc9ebf71321ae7b1895c389cb71191
0x9f7ceb76cefc9ebf71321ae7b1895c389cb71191
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-851.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?
810 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-388.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 23?
320 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Carney say "Immigration" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?
310 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-173.60
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?
130 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$0.00
$-81.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET
85 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-42.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - August 12, 4AM ET
85 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- NO
Will Atalanta beat AC Milan?
80 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-51.20
- YES
Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
30 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 24?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-13.80
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Brooksby$385.00Aug 13, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F.C. Kobenhavn vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?$1.40Aug 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Brooksby$50.25Aug 12, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Brooksby$207.70Aug 12, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 12, 4AM ET$51.00Aug 12, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET$310.00Aug 4, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET$155.00Aug 2, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$42.50Jul 28, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 20?$2.50May 19, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$2.55May 16, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$2.35May 16, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?$384.00May 16, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?$4.80May 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMETH/BTC Up or Down on May 15?$390.00May 16, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 15?$195.00May 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$6.30Apr 23, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?$5.00Apr 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?$3.60Apr 21, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win on 2025-04-19?$5.00Apr 21, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-04-19?$1.85Apr 19, 08:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $55.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.