0x9f80469cdc7ba6d4e3391138ea03a56efa7d7dfc
0x9f80469cdc7ba6d4e3391138ea03a56efa7d7dfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
168
Open notional
$17.22
Total PnL
$-622.04
Realised
$-22.72
Win rate
0%
167 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 168- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.23
$1.14
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.68
$0.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
341 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
81 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
60 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$5.11Jul 6, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$10.01Jun 23, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$10.75Jun 18, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$10.02Jun 17, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.67Jun 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.11Jun 13, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$2.57Jun 13, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$2.33Jun 13, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$2.31Jun 13, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.73Jun 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.27Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.50Jun 13, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.81Jun 13, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$3.15Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$3.36Jun 13, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$3.08Jun 13, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$4.10Jun 13, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$3.01Jun 13, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$3.15Jun 13, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$2.94Jun 13, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 167 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
167 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 167 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.