Pleased-Bootie
0x9f83f83bdfc209c6fade8a2c77ea9667e9176cd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$45.8K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
10697 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.4K
$7.10
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
7492 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.5K
$252.43
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
5000 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$27.50
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
5000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$125.00
- NO
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4700 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.6K
$4.66
- NO
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
4756 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.5K
$2.13
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
3532 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$3.5K
$12.36
- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
1608 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.6K
$417.50
- NO
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1223 shares @ 81.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$1.0K
$20.57
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
1000 shares @ 92.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$966.49
$45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?$99.00Jul 5, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$218.42Jul 5, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?$86.00Jul 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?$11.66Jul 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$306.24Jul 5, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$136.52Jul 5, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.68Jul 5, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2.33Jul 5, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$4.98Jul 5, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$121.81Jul 5, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3.10Jul 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$98.64Jul 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$86.41Jul 5, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$7.60Jul 5, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$4.98Jul 5, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$9.44Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?$12.60Jul 5, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?$3.74Jul 5, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$39.17Jul 5, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$71.90Jul 5, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $287.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.