Third-Washtub
0x9f923f82ca0db95bd3c13d3dfaf22cd330ad5c90
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-808.23
Realised
$39.01
Win rate
50%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
2200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
1480 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.48
- MAVERICKS
Lakers vs. Mavericks
1360 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
1336 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$15.08May 28, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.00May 19, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMYilmaz vs. Matusevich: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5$0.00May 19, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.56May 19, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$7.35May 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud$2.05May 19, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.07May 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Oliver Crawford$0.88May 19, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLCervia: Lorenzo Rottoli vs Gabriele Piraino$2.06May 19, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$0.00May 19, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.07May 19, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$4.23May 19, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.07May 19, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.06May 19, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.05May 19, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBengaluru 3: Hamish Stewart vs Aditya Balsekar$6.96May 19, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.07May 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.10May 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.93May 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.05May 19, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".