Reasonable-Divine
0x9f956620db25c74895fd9d131bf99ec6a9b37c6d
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$70.63
Total PnL
$-227.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
217 shares @ 59.8¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.63
$-59.37
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
589 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
154 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.3514h ago
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by June 30?$132.0914h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$100.0068d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$50.0095d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$2.0095d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?$2.0095d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$2.0095d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$1.0095d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.0095d ago
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.0095d ago
- REDEEMWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$27.00110d ago
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$100.00120d ago
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$632.91120d ago
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.00140d ago
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.00140d ago
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.89143d ago
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.83143d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?$0.00143d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?$0.00143d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $24.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 164d ago
- Last active
- 14h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".