Well-Informed-Steel
0x9f9da7d84d4f77e7c6d62ccadec4e3fda217e947
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$102.67
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$1.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 10?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$19.49
$1.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$18.50
$4.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 10?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$17.40
$-0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 10?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$14.50
$-0.10
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 10?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$13.50
$-2.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?
8 shares @ 83.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$4.71
$-1.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 10?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$4.70
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 10?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$2.50
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 10?
20 shares @ 11.2¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$2.09
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 10?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.30
$-0.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 8, 4PM ET$6.25Jul 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 8, 4PM ET$5.07Jul 8, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 8, 3PM ET$6.94Jul 8, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 8, 3PM ET$5.10Jul 8, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 8?$5.32Jul 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 8?$8.60Jul 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 8?$7.00Jul 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 8?$5.00Jul 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 8?$9.39Jul 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ET$5.09Jul 8, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 8?$3.57Jul 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 10?$0.48Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 10?$0.12Jul 8, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 10?$0.03Jul 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 10?$0.07Jul 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 10?$0.11Jul 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 10?$0.30Jul 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 10?$0.50Jul 8, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 10?$0.31Jul 8, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 10?$0.15Jul 8, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 21:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.