Buttery-Translation
0x9f9e1b937f57b12cd96cb053a7861779c06f7beb
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$114.12
Total PnL
$-9.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
103 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$102.60
$2.60
- NO
USDT depeg in 2025?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$2.44
$0.44
- NO
Ethena crash in 2024?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$2.08
$0.08
- NO
OpenSea airdrop before April?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
44 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Solana flips ETH in daily fees in July?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$100.00Sep 20, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$6.00Sep 20, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$2.00Jun 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSDT depeg in 2025?$5.00Mar 3, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMRyan Selkis arrested in 2024?$0.00Mar 3, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEM$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$0.00Mar 3, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$1.10Mar 3, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea airdrop before April?$1.00Mar 3, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?$0.00Mar 3, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMIs John McAfee alive?$0.00Mar 3, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMBiden campaign accepts crypto donations before August?$0.00Mar 3, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$2.25Mar 3, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMDerivatives_Ape/Prometheus arrested this year?$2.60Mar 3, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMTether Insolvent in 2024?$3.12Mar 3, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024?$3.19Mar 3, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$104.17Mar 3, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?$3.00Oct 30, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRyan Selkis arrested in 2024?$1.00Jul 20, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$1.00Jul 20, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDerivatives_Ape/Prometheus arrested this year?$1.00Jul 20, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $11.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 20, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.