Nonstop-Saffron
0x9f9f2271df435218ba18c7b6a915d14e6db25b06
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
35079 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-999.97
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
33557 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?
12727 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
3834 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-318.20
- YES
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
1531 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will the PPC win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?
1074 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the PPC win 2 seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the PPC win 3 seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People's Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Party win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the PPC win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?$10.72Apr 29, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?$20.30Apr 29, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$3.5KApr 29, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$10.3KApr 29, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$318.20Apr 29, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.04Apr 29, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.03Apr 29, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$7.00Apr 29, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.04Apr 29, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $363.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.