Mature-Dance
0x9faf610d6b1aa62efa86522afdeb4b6c11de4138
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$98.73
Total PnL
$-149.38
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
210 shares @ 40.0¢·now 37.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$79.38
$-4.62
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.69
$-6.24
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 14.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.26
$-2.86
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.90
$-0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10?
268 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-116.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?
52 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 9?
19 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.