Whimsical-Talent
0x9fb912f556261a1e336dbd00f7a35225061cedc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-946.82
Realised
$-452.46
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
5395 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.79
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1483 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-61.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the DC Crime Press Conference?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
399 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
314 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
264 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
205 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?$6.73Jan 9, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$10.00Jan 9, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 9, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$29.96Dec 9, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$29.21Dec 9, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.18Dec 9, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSeth Meyers cancelled by December 31?$0.98Dec 9, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.97Dec 9, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?$0.23Dec 9, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeth Meyers cancelled by December 31?$1.79Dec 4, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.00Dec 4, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?$2.00Dec 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.78Dec 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$23.14Nov 26, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$23.14Nov 26, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$43.39Nov 25, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$43.40Nov 25, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$28.93Nov 20, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$0.00Nov 20, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$0.00Nov 20, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $44.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 19:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".