0x9fb9555126d0c83b855d24127e9be4c3afab7ca5
0x9fb9555126d0c83b855d24127e9be4c3afab7ca5
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$24.74
Total PnL
$-523.52
Realised
$-263.74
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Abdul Carter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?
17 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$17.00
$0.17
- YES
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
8 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.74
$0.08
- YES
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?
738 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-177.12
- NO
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-14?
221 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-19.31
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?
206 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-36.98
- NO
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?
164 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-12.41
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?
83 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.64
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
83 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.64
- YES
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?
75 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
34 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$38.28Feb 11, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$38.68Feb 11, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul Carter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?$16.83Jan 23, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?$3.22Jan 12, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?$3.52Jan 12, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$21.00Jan 12, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$63.66Jan 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$20.79Jan 10, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$31.23Jan 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$31.61Jan 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?$20.41Jan 10, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?$20.43Jan 10, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$7.12Jan 10, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$6.91Jan 10, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$6.90Jan 10, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$32.16Jan 10, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$32.83Jan 10, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?$0.00Jan 9, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?$0.00Jan 9, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$0.00Jan 9, 05:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $25.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 01:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.