Critical-Accent
0x9fbcbb2ce020f4d7ab8d9a85f8ce1314ca046fe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 10?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or higher on November 19?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
238 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 8?$88.09Jun 9, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 8?$88.00Jun 8, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.01Jun 2, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$89.09Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$89.00Jun 2, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$89.09May 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$89.00May 22, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$89.09May 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$89.01May 19, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?$89.09May 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?$89.01May 10, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?$1.60May 10, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 10?$1.05May 10, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$91.09May 10, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$91.01May 6, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?$91.12May 6, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?$91.01May 3, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill UK strike Iran by April 30?$91.09May 3, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK strike Iran by April 30?$91.00Apr 29, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $67.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.