Sturdy-Hemisphere
0x9fbfe50bf171adaa347a5cb2b789b4a6e12ef003
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-781.55
Win rate
10%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 20?
16010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-23.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12?
3181 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 3?
412 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-107.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?
406 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-263.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 11?
262 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-76.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 21?
253 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 11?
162 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-59.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?
92 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-62.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 11?
78 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-24.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.08Aug 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.72Aug 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.77Aug 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.02Aug 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.30Aug 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.80Aug 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$2.00Aug 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.03Aug 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.72Aug 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.52Aug 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.72Aug 17, 01:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.46Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.85Aug 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.21Aug 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.94Aug 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.76Aug 17, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.20Aug 17, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 84 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
84 closed markets, 10% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 02:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.