Polite-Dibble
0x9fc1643d849c6fc7fef851add0bc5c805f88c717
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
2105 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out before October?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?$147.15Jun 9, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?$147.01Jun 9, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$146.15Jun 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$146.01Jun 7, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?$146.15Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?$146.01Jun 2, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?$146.15Jun 1, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?$146.01May 30, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?$146.15May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?$146.01May 27, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$146.15May 24, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$146.00May 23, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$4.42May 23, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$150.15May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$150.01May 16, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$150.15May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$150.01May 13, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$150.15May 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$150.01May 11, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$150.15May 11, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $100.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 18:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.