Tender-Patriarch
0x9fc3008979bad97e6ea01a7062bbf7f3edf212af
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$97.02
Total PnL
$-839.04
Realised
$90.58
Win rate
66%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?
16 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.63
$-0.10
- NO
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.66
$0.62
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.20
$0.10
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.20
$0.10
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
10 shares @ 90.4¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.77
$0.15
- NO
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$8.55
$-0.65
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?
8 shares @ 90.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.12
$0.03
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
20 shares @ 32.4¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.80
$0.33
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.72
$-0.03
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.32
$0.09
Recent activity
- MERGEWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$4.56Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$6.50Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$6.50Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?$3.83Jun 14, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?$4.73Jun 14, 06:59 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?$6.45Jun 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?$5.93Jun 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$2.90Jun 14, 06:13 UTC
- MERGEWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$5.43Jun 14, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$2.80Jun 14, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?$5.53Jun 14, 05:26 UTC
- MERGEWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$10.01Jun 14, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$5.11Jun 14, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$1.49Jun 14, 04:55 UTC
- MERGEWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.53Jun 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.50Jun 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?$5.59Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$6.99Jun 13, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$9.20Jun 13, 23:35 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.